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Researchers in California studied unemployment insurance claims alongside measures of how much of the work in different occupations could potentially be done by AI.
Through May 2026, they found no broad statewide increase in unemployment claims among workers in occupations with higher AI exposure, compared with the years before late 2022.
Claims did increase for some groups, including college-educated workers in occupations with higher AI exposure. Increases also showed up in the San Francisco Bay Area and in the information and professional services sectors.
These findings do not establish that AI caused the changes. The researchers describe the patterns as descriptive and note that other economic factors were at work over the same period, including the unwinding of rapid tech hiring after the remote-work boom.
This research counts people who filed for unemployment after losing a job. It does not measure job openings or entry-level hiring, and it cannot predict your chances of finding a job in any particular career.
Source: California Policy Lab and California Employment Development Department, California AI-Unemployment Tracker (CAIT), data through May 2026. View the California AI-Unemployment Tracker
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